Tennis · W35 Verbier · 19/08, 11:00

Prediction: Anastasia Bertacchi vs Mara Guth

Team pages: Anastasia Bertacchi · Mara Guth

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Anastasia Bertacchi Mara Guth
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Anastasia Bertacchi 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLLLWLW
Mara Guth 4-6 (W-L)
WWLWLWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anastasia Bertacchi 1462 · Mara Guth 1468
Anastasia BertacchiMara Guth
Our model49%51%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Anastasia Bertacchi makes many double faults (6.1/match).
  • Note: Mara Guth makes many double faults (7.2/match).

Statistics

Anastasia BertacchiMara Guth
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay 33% (6) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.1-1.3
Games (G-P)10.5-11.712.1-12.3
Aces0.60.7
Double faults6.17.2
1st serve %57.6%55.1%
Break %55.4%50.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 23

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Anastasia Bertacchi

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/08 Ksenia Zaytseva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 10-17 L
04/08 Ustiniya Lekomtseva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 16-16 L
18/07 Raluca Georgiana Serban
WTA Palermo · Clay
1-2 11-17 L
15/07 Emma Lene
W35 Torino
0-2 1-12 L
10/07 Martyna Kubka
W35 Don Benito
0-2 6-13 L
09/07 Ann Akasha Ceuca
W35 Don Benito
2-1 16-13 W
07/07 Nahia Berecoechea
W35 Don Benito
2-0 13-10 W
30/06 Lisa Zaar
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
29/06 Ginevra Montebruno
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
28/06 Kamila Kashaeva
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Mara Guth

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/08 Michaela Bayerlova
W50 Hamburg
0-2 6-12 L
27/07 Loes Ebeling Koning
W50 Knokke-Heist
1-2 14-14 L
26/07 Merel Hoedt
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-1 17-14 W
23/07 Nellie Taraba Wallberg
W35 Gentofte
0-2 9-13 L
21/07 Carolina Kuhl
W35 Gentofte
2-0 12-8 W
13/07 Isabel Skoog
W50 Darmstadt
1-2 14-19 L
06/07 Laura Hietaranta
W100 Aschaffenburg
1-2 14-16 L
26/06 Valentina Ivanov
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 10-14 L
25/06 Daniela Ciobanu
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
24/06 Isabella Angelina Abendroth
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anastasia Bertacchi vs Mara Guth?

Our model gives 63% to Mara Guth, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.