Tennis · W50 Prague · 19/08, 11:00
Prediction: Lucie Havlickova vs Victoria Bervid
Team pages: Lucie Havlickova · Victoria Bervid
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucie Havlickova
Victoria Bervid
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Havlickova
6-4 (W-L)
Victoria Bervid
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Havlickova 1478 · Victoria Bervid 1554
| Lucie Havlickova | Victoria Bervid | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Victoria Bervid (rating 1478 vs 1554).
- Victoria Bervid is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Lucie Havlickova makes many double faults (7.2/match).
- Note: Victoria Bervid makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Lucie Havlickova | Victoria Bervid | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.6 | 11.2-8.9 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 7.2 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 56.4% | 33.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Havlickova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Harmony Tan WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Nao Hibino W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Maria Garcia W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Maria Lourdes Carle Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 12/06 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Jana Kovackova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Hibah Shaikh W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Victoria Bervid
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Rina Saigo WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Laura Hietaranta W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/03 | Jada Robinson UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 28/02 | Himari Sato UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/02 | Abigail Rencheli UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/02 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/02 | Briley Rhoden UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 23/02 | Valerie Shue UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/02 | Athina Schlepphorst UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/02 | Lillian Santos UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Havlickova vs Victoria Bervid?
Our model gives 67% to Lucie Havlickova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.