Tennis · W35 Verbier · 17/08, 11:00

Prediction: Elena Grekul vs Sofia Alekseeva

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Elena Grekul Sofia Alekseeva
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Grekul 3-7 (W-L)
WWLWLLLLLL
Sofia Alekseeva 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Elena Grekul 1476 · Sofia Alekseeva 1450
Elena GrekulSofia Alekseeva
Our model54%46%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Sofia Alekseeva makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Elena GrekulSofia Alekseeva
Win %40%30%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 29% (7)
Sets (G-P)1-1.40.6-1.4
Games (G-P)8.2-10.67.3-10.5
Aces0.60.5
Double faults3.94.2
1st serve %52.2%48.6%
Break %50.2%47.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elena Grekul

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Alexandra Biot
W15 Savitaipale
0-2 8-13 L
29/07 Nuppu Palm
W15 Savitaipale
2-1 15-8 W
15/06 Josephine Kunz
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
1-2 9-10 L
14/06 Emilie Chablaix
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
2-1 8-12 W
26/05 Elena Korokozidi
W35 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 4-11 L
07/05 Yasmine Mansouri
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
06/05 Allegra Fiorani
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
30/04 Karla Popovic
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-11 L
29/04 Isabella De Micco Padula
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
22/04 Fabienne Gettwart
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 10-17 L

Sofia Alekseeva

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/08 Tamara Bachmann
W35 Verbier
2-0 12-3 W
12/05 Lena Ramharter
W15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
20/04 Aneta Kucmova
W75 Chiasso · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
18/03 Stephanie Judith Visscher
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
17/03 Nahjime Dho
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
26/11 Adrienn Nagy
ITF W15 Lousada · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
18/11 Julia Victoria Rennert
ITF W15 Lousada · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
08/10 Manon Leonard
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
06/10 Kiara Cvetkovic
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
05/09 Alicia Dudeney
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elena Grekul vs Sofia Alekseeva?

Our model gives 56% to Elena Grekul, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.