Tennis · Challenger Prague · 17/08, 10:00
Prediction: Andrew Paulson vs Norbert Gombos
Team pages: Norbert Gombos
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrew Paulson
Norbert Gombos
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Andrew Paulson
3-7 (W-L)
Norbert Gombos
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrew Paulson 1471 · Norbert Gombos 1554
| Andrew Paulson | Norbert Gombos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Norbert Gombos (rating 1471 vs 1554).
- Norbert Gombos is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Andrew Paulson makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Andrew Paulson | Norbert Gombos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.4 | 11.8-10 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrew Paulson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Dominik Recek Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/05 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Stefan Latinov Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/04 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/04 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Menorca · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Menorca · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/04 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Menorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/03 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Menorca · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/03 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Alicante · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Norbert Gombos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Jiri Cizek Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Matyas Cerny Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 27/07 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 11/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrew Paulson vs Norbert Gombos?
Our model gives 64% to Norbert Gombos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.