Tennis · Challenger Sion · 17/08, 10:00
Prediction: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Lorenzo Bocchi
Team pages: Alex Marti Pujolras · Lorenzo Bocchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Marti Pujolras
Lorenzo Bocchi
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Marti Pujolras
3-7 (W-L)
Lorenzo Bocchi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Marti Pujolras 1475 · Lorenzo Bocchi 1528
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Lorenzo Bocchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Bocchi (rating 1475 vs 1528).
- Lorenzo Bocchi is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Alex Marti Pujolras makes many double faults (8.3/match).
Statistics
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Lorenzo Bocchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-12 | 10.6-8 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 8.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 69% |
| Break % | 63.4% | 61.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Marti Pujolras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Maximilian Neuchrist Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 27/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 26/07 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Abel Forger Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Samir Hamza Reguig Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Vijay Sundar Prashanth Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Lorenzo Bocchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Matthew William Donald M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/07 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Matic Hribar M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Glib Sekachov M15 Nova Gorica |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Lorenzo Berto Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Andrej Martin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Marti Pujolras vs Lorenzo Bocchi?
Our model gives 57% to Alex Marti Pujolras, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.