Tennis · Challenger Sion · 17/08, 11:00
Prediction: Luca Wiedenmann vs Thiago Cigarran
Team pages: Luca Wiedenmann · Thiago Cigarran
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Wiedenmann
Thiago Cigarran
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Wiedenmann
7-3 (W-L)
Thiago Cigarran
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Wiedenmann 1578 · Thiago Cigarran 1548
| Luca Wiedenmann | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Luca Wiedenmann | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-7.5 | 11.8-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Wiedenmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Timeo Gaillard Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Ziga Sesko M15 Trier |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Jaron Held M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Sean Cuenin M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Alessio Basile M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Antonin Witz M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Niccolo Baroni M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Store |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Nikola Slavic M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Adam Jilly M15 Store |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Thiago Cigarran
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Michael Zhu Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Trier |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Ronald Hohmann M15 Trier |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Murkel Dellien M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Santiago Lora M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Wiedenmann vs Thiago Cigarran?
Our model gives 66% to Luca Wiedenmann, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.