Tennis · Challenger Prague · 17/08, 10:00
Prediction: Jakub Paul vs Rudolf Molleker
Team pages: Rudolf Molleker
Prediction summary
Winner
Jakub Paul
Rudolf Molleker
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jakub Paul
6-4 (W-L)
Rudolf Molleker
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jakub Paul
1–0
Rudolf Molleker
(1 last)
- 28 Jan2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jakub Paul 1509 · Rudolf Molleker 1522
| Jakub Paul | Rudolf Molleker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Rudolf Molleker dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 60.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Jakub Paul 1–0 Rudolf Molleker (1).
- Note: Rudolf Molleker makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Jakub Paul | Rudolf Molleker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.9 | 12.2-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 0.5 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 60.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Jakub Paul 1 – 0 Rudolf Molleker (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jakub Paul 1–0 Rudolf Molleker
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/25 Challenger Koblenz | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jakub Paul
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Michele Mecarelli Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/05 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 11/05 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/03 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Marrakech · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Naples · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/03 | John Sperle Challenger Naples · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/03 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Naples · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/02 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger St Brieuc · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
Rudolf Molleker
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Aleksandr Braynin Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Tim Handel Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Dali Blanch Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Jakub Vrba Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 12/07 | Dax Donders Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jakub Paul vs Rudolf Molleker?
Our model gives 55% to Rudolf Molleker, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.