Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 18/08, 11:00
Prediction: Lucas Poullain vs Max Basing
Team pages: Lucas Poullain · Max Basing
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucas Poullain
Max Basing
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lucas Poullain
4-6 (W-L)
Max Basing
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucas Poullain 1552 · Max Basing 1530
| Lucas Poullain | Max Basing | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Max Basing makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Lucas Poullain | Max Basing | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.1 | 12-11.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 22.4% | 26.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucas Poullain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 08/08 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Dan Added Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Dan Added Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Isaac Becroft M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Vadym Ursu M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Mathieu Scaglia M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Max Basing
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Henry Searle Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Felix Gill Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 3-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucas Poullain vs Max Basing?
Our model gives 51% to Max Basing, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.