Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 18/08, 11:00
Prediction: Matteo Martineau vs Lui Maxted
Team pages: Matteo Martineau · Lui Maxted
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Martineau
Lui Maxted
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Martineau
5-5 (W-L)
Lui Maxted
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Martineau 1525 · Lui Maxted 1528
| Matteo Martineau | Lui Maxted | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matteo Martineau | Lui Maxted | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.9 | 13-11.3 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 59.8% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Martineau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Lui Maxted
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Charles Broom M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Mark Ceban M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Marcus Walters M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Rhys Lawlor M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 29/07 | Billy Blaydes M25 Aldershot |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 24/07 | Clement Lemire M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Louis Larue M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Martineau vs Lui Maxted?
Our model gives 51% to Lui Maxted, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.