Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 18/08, 11:00

Prediction: Fares Zakaria vs Alex Rybakov

Team pages: Fares Zakaria · Alex Rybakov

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Fares Zakaria Alex Rybakov
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Fares Zakaria 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWLLWWWW
Alex Rybakov 7-3 (W-L)
WLLWWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fares Zakaria 1506 · Alex Rybakov 1526
Fares ZakariaAlex Rybakov
Our model47%53%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Fares ZakariaAlex Rybakov
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21.5-1
Games (G-P)11.3-11.912.2-10.7
Aces2.94.9
Double faults3.82.8
1st serve %64.7%69.8%
Break %44.1%48.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fares Zakaria

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/08 Vincent Reisach
M15 Warsaw
1-2 16-18 L
14/08 Jakub Solarski
M15 Warsaw
2-0 13-9 W
13/08 Yassine Smiej
M15 Warsaw
2-0 13-7 W
12/08 William Mclennaghan
M15 Warsaw
2-0 12-5 W
03/08 Daniil Glinka
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
23/07 Sebastian Sorger
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 9-13 L
22/07 David Bakonyi
M25 Ollersbach
2-1 13-10 W
16/07 Flynn Thomas
M25 Kramsach
0-2 0-12 L
15/07 Lenn Luemkemann
M25 Kramsach
2-1 14-13 W
21/06 Thomas Fancutt
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 12-17 L

Alex Rybakov

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/08 Oliver Tarvet
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
1-2 9-15 L
06/08 Billy Blaydes
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
04/08 Matthew Summers
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
28/07 Charlie Robertson
M25 Aldershot
1-1 14-11 W
07/07 Andre Ilagan
Challenger Newport · Grass
1-2 13-15 L
05/07 Tung-Lin Wu
Challenger Newport · Grass
2-0 13-10 W
17/06 Bruno Kuzuhara
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
1-2 9-13 L
10/05 Joaquim Almeida
M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay
1-2 11-13 L
09/05 Liam Krall
M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W
08/05 Ryan Colby
M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fares Zakaria vs Alex Rybakov?

Our model gives 64% to Alex Rybakov, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.