Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 18/08, 11:00
Prediction: Yuta Shimizu vs Anton Matusevich
Team pages: Yuta Shimizu · Anton Matusevich
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuta Shimizu
Anton Matusevich
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Yuta Shimizu
6-4 (W-L)
Anton Matusevich
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuta Shimizu 1503 · Anton Matusevich 1558
| Yuta Shimizu | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anton Matusevich (rating 1503 vs 1558).
Statistics
| Yuta Shimizu | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-13 | 12.9-9.7 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 77.3% |
| Break % | 37.5% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuta Shimizu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Justin Boulais Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Ryan Colby M25 Laval |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Dan Martin Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 04/06 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
Anton Matusevich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Oliver Tarvet M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Emile Hudd M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/08 | Conor Gannon M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Nikola Djosic Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuta Shimizu vs Anton Matusevich?
Our model gives 56% to Anton Matusevich, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.