Tennis · W50 Prague · 16/08, 11:00
Prediction: Alba Rey Garcia vs Agatha Chytilova
Team pages: Alba Rey Garcia · Agatha Chytilova
Prediction summary
Winner
Alba Rey Garcia
Agatha Chytilova
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alba Rey Garcia
4-6 (W-L)
Agatha Chytilova
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alba Rey Garcia 1479 · Agatha Chytilova 1412
| Alba Rey Garcia | Agatha Chytilova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alba Rey Garcia (rating 1479 vs 1412).
- Alba Rey Garcia is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Agatha Chytilova makes many double faults (10/match).
Statistics
| Alba Rey Garcia | Agatha Chytilova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.3-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.1 | 5.5-11.9 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 10 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 63% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 0% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alba Rey Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Jasmijn Gimbrere W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Verena Meliss W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 09/08 | Carolin Raschdorf W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Koksijde |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 02/08 | Seda Baslilar W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Lorena Solar Donoso W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Anna Kubareva W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Polina Isakova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Aliona Falei W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Agatha Chytilova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Adrienn Nagy W75 Olomouc |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Denisa Zoldakova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/03 | Aliaksandra Skapets UTR Pro Gyor Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/03 | Julia Adams UTR Pro Gyor Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Laura Svatikova UTR Pro Gyor Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Anika Jaskova UTR Pro Gyor Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Sara Gvozdenovic UTR Pro Gyor Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/02 | Nela Jandova UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 13/02 | Vanesa Sulcova UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/02 | Nela Linhartova UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alba Rey Garcia vs Agatha Chytilova?
Our model gives 77% to Alba Rey Garcia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.