Tennis · W50 Prague · 16/08, 12:30
Prediction: Karolina Vlckova vs Merel Hoedt
Team pages: Karolina Vlckova · Merel Hoedt
Prediction summary
Winner
Karolina Vlckova
Merel Hoedt
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Karolina Vlckova
3-7 (W-L)
Merel Hoedt
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karolina Vlckova 1471 · Merel Hoedt 1535
| Karolina Vlckova | Merel Hoedt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Merel Hoedt (rating 1471 vs 1535).
- Note: Karolina Vlckova makes many double faults (9.5/match).
- Note: Merel Hoedt makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Karolina Vlckova | Merel Hoedt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.9 | 13.8-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 9.5 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 52.5% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 34% | 53.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karolina Vlckova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Katarzyna Wysoczanska W15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Lucie Petruzelova W100 Amstetten |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/03 | Linda Sevcikova UTR Pro Gyor Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/03 | Olga Golas UTR Pro Gyor Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/03 | Nela Jandova UTR Pro Gyor Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/03 | Julia Terziyska UTR Pro Gyor Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/03 | Denise Hrdinkova UTR Pro Gyor Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/03 | Radka Zelnickova UTR Pro Trnava Women · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 14/03 | Laura Svatikova UTR Pro Trnava Women · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 13/03 | Anastasiia Hnidets UTR Pro Trnava Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Merel Hoedt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Anna Siskova W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 12/08 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Sophie Greiner W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Anna Petkovic W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Josy Daems W75 Koksijde |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/07 | Mara Guth W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/07 | Johanne C Svendsen W35 Gentofte |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Matylda Burylo W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karolina Vlckova vs Merel Hoedt?
Our model gives 68% to Merel Hoedt, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.