Tennis · Challenger Prague · 18/08, 10:00
Prediction: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Sumit Nagal
Team pages: Eduardo Ribeiro · Sumit Nagal
Prediction summary
Winner
Eduardo Ribeiro
Sumit Nagal
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Eduardo Ribeiro
5-5 (W-L)
Sumit Nagal
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eduardo Ribeiro 1471 · Sumit Nagal 1526
| Eduardo Ribeiro | Sumit Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sumit Nagal (rating 1471 vs 1526).
Statistics
| Eduardo Ribeiro | Sumit Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.5 | 10.4-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eduardo Ribeiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Tomas Martinez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Sumit Nagal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eduardo Ribeiro vs Sumit Nagal?
Our model gives 67% to Sumit Nagal, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.