Tennis · Challenger Prague · 18/08, 10:00
Prediction: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat
Team pages: Petr Brunclik · Jan Kumstat
Prediction summary
Winner
Petr Brunclik
Jan Kumstat
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Brunclik
7-3 (W-L)
Jan Kumstat
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petr Brunclik 1523 · Jan Kumstat 1691
| Petr Brunclik | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jan Kumstat (rating 1523 vs 1691).
- Jan Kumstat is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Petr Brunclik | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 100% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 2-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-11.4 | 14.3-9.8 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 9.2 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 81.2% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 35.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petr Brunclik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Jaime Faria Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/05 | Billy Harris Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Jan Kumstat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 10/08 | Tom Zeuch Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 09/08 | Alan Wazny Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat?
Our model gives 65% to Jan Kumstat, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.