Tennis · Challenger Sion · 18/08, 10:00
Prediction: Facundo Mena vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Team pages: Facundo Mena · Juan Manuel La Serna
Prediction summary
Winner
Facundo Mena
Juan Manuel La Serna
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Facundo Mena
1-9 (W-L)
Juan Manuel La Serna
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Facundo Mena 1450 · Juan Manuel La Serna 1492
| Facundo Mena | Juan Manuel La Serna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Manuel La Serna (rating 1450 vs 1492).
Statistics
| Facundo Mena | Juan Manuel La Serna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-12.7 | 11.1-10.8 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 30.4% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Mena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Tristan McCormick Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Santos · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 05/05 | Daniel Dutra Da Silva Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/04 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Juan Manuel La Serna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Mena vs Juan Manuel La Serna?
Our model gives 55% to Juan Manuel La Serna, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.