Tennis · Challenger Sion · 18/08, 10:00
Prediction: Luca Staeheli vs Andrey Chepelev
Team pages: Luca Staeheli · Andrey Chepelev
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Staeheli
Andrey Chepelev
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Staeheli
5-5 (W-L)
Andrey Chepelev
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Staeheli 1576 · Andrey Chepelev 1487
| Luca Staeheli | Andrey Chepelev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luca Staeheli (rating 1576 vs 1487).
- Luca Staeheli is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Luca Staeheli | Andrey Chepelev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.4 | 11.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 75.8% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Staeheli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg M25 Muttenz |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Nico Hipfl M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Adrien Berrut M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Nicola Senn M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Dennis Andre Dutine M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Matyas Kozlovsky M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Jack Loge Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Andrey Chepelev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Stefan Horia Haita M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Bor Artnak M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Aleksandar Tolev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/08 | David Eichenseher M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Marko Maksimovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Filip Krolo M25 Wetzlar |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Staeheli vs Andrey Chepelev?
Our model gives 63% to Luca Staeheli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.