Tennis · Challenger Sion · 18/08, 10:00
Prediction: Ognjen Milic vs Lucio Ratti
Team pages: Ognjen Milic · Lucio Ratti
Prediction summary
Winner
Ognjen Milic
Lucio Ratti
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ognjen Milic
8-2 (W-L)
Lucio Ratti
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ognjen Milic 1543 · Lucio Ratti 1564
| Ognjen Milic | Lucio Ratti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ognjen Milic makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Ognjen Milic | Lucio Ratti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.4 | 11.4-8.7 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 73% |
| Break % | 60.8% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ognjen Milic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Ruslan Tiukaev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/07 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Niksa Arsic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Milos Mikovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Jorge Plans M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Lucio Ratti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Tai Leonard Sach Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/06 | Denis Petak M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Alessandro Battiston M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ognjen Milic vs Lucio Ratti?
Our model gives 52% to Ognjen Milic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.