Tennis · Challenger Sion · 18/08, 10:00

Prediction: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Marvin Moeller

Team pages: Dimitar Kuzmanov · Marvin Moeller

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Dimitar Kuzmanov Marvin Moeller
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Dimitar Kuzmanov 6-4 (W-L)
WLLLWWWLWW
Marvin Moeller 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWLLWLWW
Head-to-head
Dimitar Kuzmanov 1–0 Marvin Moeller (1 last)
  • 24 Jun2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dimitar Kuzmanov 1519 · Marvin Moeller 1617
Dimitar KuzmanovMarvin Moeller
Our model36%64%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marvin Moeller (rating 1519 vs 1617).
  • Marvin Moeller is in better form: 90% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Dimitar Kuzmanov 1–0 Marvin Moeller (1).

Statistics

Dimitar KuzmanovMarvin Moeller
Win %60%90%
Win % · Clay 63% (8) 90% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.8-0.6
Games (G-P)11.3-8.813.4-10.8
Aces2.13.5
Double faults1.53.5
1st serve %67.4%65.5%
Break %51.3%35.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

H2H · Dimitar Kuzmanov 10 Marvin Moeller (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dimitar Kuzmanov 10 Marvin Moeller

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DateSetsGamesRes.
24/06/18
ITF Germany F4
2-012-5W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dimitar Kuzmanov

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Paul Inchauspe
Challenger Samsun · Hard
1-2 12-14 L
27/07 Alexandr Binda
Challenger Samsun · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
23/07 Otto Virtanen
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
21/07 Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
20/07 Maxime Janvier
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
19/07 Jannik Opitz
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
13/07 Ryan Nijboer
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
12/07 Daniel De Jonge
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
07/07 Jan Choinski
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
06/07 Robert Strombachs
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Marvin Moeller

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/08 Matej Dodig
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
14/08 Niels McDonald
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
12/08 Raul Brancaccio
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-1 19-19 W
10/08 Cezar Cretu
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-1 17-12 W
10/07 Hugo Gaston
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
07/07 Benito Sanchez Martinez
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-1 13-15 W
05/07 Kilian Feldbausch
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
04/07 Calvin Hemery
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
03/07 Marat Sharipov
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-1 16-14 W
01/07 Mickael Kaouk
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Marvin Moeller?

Our model gives 56% to Marvin Moeller, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.