Tennis · Challenger Sion · 16/08, 10:00

Prediction: Gerard Campana Lee vs Franco Ribero

Team pages: Gerard Campana Lee · Franco Ribero

Prediction summary
Winner
71% 29%
Gerard Campana Lee Franco Ribero
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gerard Campana Lee 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWWWWLL
Franco Ribero 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gerard Campana Lee 1583 · Franco Ribero 1474
Gerard Campana LeeFranco Ribero
Our model65%35%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gerard Campana Lee (rating 1583 vs 1474).
  • Gerard Campana Lee is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Gerard Campana LeeFranco Ribero
Win %80%40%
Win % · Clay 80% (10) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.61.1-1.3
Games (G-P)11.9-8.610.5-10.8
Aces2.42
Double faults2.91.7
1st serve %73.1%60.2%
Break %49.8%49.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gerard Campana Lee

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/08 Gabriele Piraino
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
06/08 Samuele Pieri
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-1 18-13 W
04/08 Pietro Marino
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
03/08 Stefan Horia Haita
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
02/08 Vladislav Melnic
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
14/07 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
13/07 Denis Yevseyev
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
12/07 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
07/07 Gauthier Onclin
Challenger Liege · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
06/07 Michiel de Krom
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-1 16-14 W

Franco Ribero

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/08 Nikita Mashtakov
Challenger Todi · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
04/08 Radu Mihai Papoe
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 13-13 L
03/08 Dragos Nicolae Cazacu
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
02/08 William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-1 13-11 W
06/07 Leo Raquillet
Challenger Liege · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
05/07 Alessio Basile
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
29/06 Pavel Lagutin
Challenger Troyes · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
28/06 Benoit Geldof
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
21/06 Felix Balshaw
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Pavel Kotov
Challenger Royan · Clay
1-2 10-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gerard Campana Lee vs Franco Ribero?

Our model gives 71% to Gerard Campana Lee, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.