Tennis · Challenger Sion · 16/08, 10:00
Prediction: Petros Tsitsipas vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Team pages: Petros Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Petros Tsitsipas
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Petros Tsitsipas
3-7 (W-L)
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petros Tsitsipas 1475 · Oleksandr Ovcharenko 1504
| Petros Tsitsipas | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Petros Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Petros Tsitsipas | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.5 | 11.5-11.2 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petros Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Theo Papamalamis M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Maurice-Noel Kaserer M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M15 Lodz |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Martins Rocens M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Bozo Barun M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Viacheslav Bielinskyi M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Glib Sekachov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Guillaume Dalmasso M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Matthew William Donald M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Muttenz |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Filiberto Fumagalli M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Tudor Batin M25 Bacau |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/07 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Slobozia |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu M15 Slobozia |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre M15 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Eduard Gabriel Coreisa M15 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petros Tsitsipas vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko?
Our model gives 68% to Oleksandr Ovcharenko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.