Tennis · Challenger Sion · 16/08, 10:00
Prediction: Michael Zhu vs Thiago Cigarran
Team pages: Michael Zhu · Thiago Cigarran
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Zhu
Thiago Cigarran
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Zhu
4-6 (W-L)
Thiago Cigarran
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Zhu 1457 · Thiago Cigarran 1524
| Michael Zhu | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Cigarran (rating 1457 vs 1524).
- Thiago Cigarran is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Thiago Cigarran makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Michael Zhu | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-12.1 | 11.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Pietro Marino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Liam Hignett Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniel Jade Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/06 | Mark Vervoort Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Orel Kimhi Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 24/05 | Thando Longwe-Smit Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Thiago Cigarran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Trier |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Ronald Hohmann M15 Trier |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Murkel Dellien M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Santiago Lora M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Zhu vs Thiago Cigarran?
Our model gives 68% to Thiago Cigarran, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.