Tennis · Challenger Prague · 16/08, 14:30
Prediction: Matyas Cerny vs Dusan Obradovic
Team pages: Matyas Cerny · Dusan Obradovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Matyas Cerny
Dusan Obradovic
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Matyas Cerny
5-5 (W-L)
Dusan Obradovic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matyas Cerny 1473 · Dusan Obradovic 1516
| Matyas Cerny | Dusan Obradovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dusan Obradovic (rating 1473 vs 1516).
Statistics
| Matyas Cerny | Dusan Obradovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.4 | 10.8-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 36.9% | 37.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matyas Cerny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Ignacio Carou Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Jou-George Gnjidic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Leonardo Angeloni M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/06 | Alexander Weis Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Max Frohlich M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/05 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Dusan Obradovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Sean Cuenin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Kristijan Juhas M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Vlado Jankanj M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Alexander Zgirovsky M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Vardan Manukyan M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 26/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Jovan Bjelobrk M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Antoni Fabre M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matyas Cerny vs Dusan Obradovic?
Our model gives 53% to Matyas Cerny, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.