Prediction: Sabritt Dozier vs Ariana Gilbert

Team pages: Sabritt Dozier · Ariana Gilbert

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Sabritt Dozier Ariana Gilbert
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sabritt Dozier 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWWLWL
Ariana Gilbert 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sabritt Dozier 1509 · Ariana Gilbert 1421
Sabritt DozierAriana Gilbert
Our model62%38%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sabritt Dozier (rating 1509 vs 1421).
  • Sabritt Dozier is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Ariana Gilbert makes many double faults (5.4/match).

Statistics

Sabritt DozierAriana Gilbert
Win %50%20%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 22% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.10.7-1.6
Games (G-P)13.2-11.59.9-12.7
Aces0.82.3
Double faults1.85.4
1st serve %60.1%63.8%
Break %44.2%41.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sabritt Dozier

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/08 Mariana Manyoma
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
1-2 17-19 L
12/08 Allison Isaacs
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
1-2 13-12 L
11/08 Ava Esposito Cogan
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
25/07 Isabella Camacho
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
24/07 Reese Frank
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
23/07 Gabriella Goyins
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
22/07 Alana Boyce
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
21/07 Anna Arkadianou
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
05/07 Raegan Farm
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
04/07 Emily Deming
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
1-2 12-18 L

Ariana Gilbert

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/08 Isabella Camacho
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
1-2 14-19 L
12/08 Kaya Moe
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
1-2 10-18 L
11/08 Audrey Aulia
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
1-2 11-16 L
25/07 Anna Arkadianou
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
24/07 Natalie Oliver
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
23/07 Reese Frank
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
23/07 Aryana Bartlett
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
21/07 Calla McGill
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
23/06 Nadia Elle Valdez
W35 Rome
0-2 9-13 L
18/06 Catherine Rennard
UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sabritt Dozier vs Ariana Gilbert?

Our model gives 66% to Sabritt Dozier, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.