Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 15/08, 14:30
Prediction: Ava Esposito Cogan vs Kaya Moe
Team pages: Ava Esposito Cogan · Kaya Moe
Prediction summary
Winner
Ava Esposito Cogan
Kaya Moe
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ava Esposito Cogan
8-2 (W-L)
Kaya Moe
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ava Esposito Cogan
0–1
Kaya Moe
(1 last)
- 11 Jun0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ava Esposito Cogan 1623 · Kaya Moe 1581
| Ava Esposito Cogan | Kaya Moe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ava Esposito Cogan (rating 1623 vs 1581).
- Head-to-head: Ava Esposito Cogan 0–1 Kaya Moe (1).
- Note: Ava Esposito Cogan makes many double faults (8.3/match).
- Note: Kaya Moe makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Ava Esposito Cogan | Kaya Moe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-8.4 | 12.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 8.3 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 55% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Ava Esposito Cogan 0 – 1 Kaya Moe (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ava Esposito Cogan 0–1 Kaya Moe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/25 UTR Pro Manchester Women | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ava Esposito Cogan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 12/08 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Sabritt Dozier UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 08/08 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Brooke Lynn Schafer UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Kesmat El Tawil UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Kaya Moe
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Isabella Camacho UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Brooke Lynn Schafer UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Natalie Outcalt UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Gabby Barrera UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Kate Sharabura UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Dasha Plekhanova W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ava Esposito Cogan vs Kaya Moe?
Our model gives 62% to Ava Esposito Cogan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.