Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 14/08, 18:00
Prediction: Ava Esposito Cogan vs Lexie Weir
Team pages: Ava Esposito Cogan · Lexie Weir
Prediction summary
Winner
Ava Esposito Cogan
Lexie Weir
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ava Esposito Cogan
8-2 (W-L)
Lexie Weir
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ava Esposito Cogan
2–0
Lexie Weir
(2 last)
- 07 Aug2-0 12-6W
- 01 Aug2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ava Esposito Cogan 1618 · Lexie Weir 1587
| Ava Esposito Cogan | Lexie Weir | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ava Esposito Cogan 2–0 Lexie Weir (2).
- Note: Ava Esposito Cogan makes many double faults (8.5/match).
Statistics
| Ava Esposito Cogan | Lexie Weir | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-8.5 | 12.2-10.1 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 8.5 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 56.7% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Ava Esposito Cogan 2 – 0 Lexie Weir (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ava Esposito Cogan 2–0 Lexie Weir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/26 UTR Pro Auburn Women | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08/26 UTR Pro Auburn Women | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ava Esposito Cogan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 12/08 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Sabritt Dozier UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 08/08 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Brooke Lynn Schafer UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Kesmat El Tawil UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Ireland O'Brien UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Lexie Weir
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Sydney Jara UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/08 | Lucia Donnelly UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Ava Esposito Cogan UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Kate Sharabura UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabby Barrera UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 01/08 | Ava Esposito Cogan UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Kathryn Wilson UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ava Esposito Cogan vs Lexie Weir?
Our model gives 68% to Ava Esposito Cogan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.