Tennis · M25 Muttenz · 13/08, 13:00
Prediction: Adrien Berrut vs Luca Staeheli
Team pages: Adrien Berrut · Luca Staeheli
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrien Berrut
Luca Staeheli
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Adrien Berrut
7-3 (W-L)
Luca Staeheli
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrien Berrut 1584 · Luca Staeheli 1511
| Adrien Berrut | Luca Staeheli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrien Berrut (rating 1584 vs 1511).
Statistics
| Adrien Berrut | Luca Staeheli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-8.1 | 11.5-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 72% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrien Berrut
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Matteo Covato M25 Muttenz |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/08 | Facundo Yunis M25 Muttenz |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Michalis Sakellaridis M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Mathys Domenc M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Antonin Witz M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/07 | Antoine Walch M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Zaccharie Cado M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Ander Tarrio Ponte UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Carl Holder UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Luca Staeheli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Nicola Senn M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Dennis Andre Dutine M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Matyas Kozlovsky M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Jack Loge Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Courtney John Lock Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrien Berrut vs Luca Staeheli?
Our model gives 57% to Luca Staeheli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.