Tennis · M25 Muttenz · 15/08, 12:30
Prediction: Matthew William Donald vs Louis Wessels
Team pages: Matthew William Donald · Louis Wessels
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew William Donald
Louis Wessels
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew William Donald
8-2 (W-L)
Louis Wessels
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matthew William Donald
1–0
Louis Wessels
(1 last)
- 29 Jan2-1 18-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew William Donald 1591 · Louis Wessels 1525
| Matthew William Donald | Louis Wessels | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew William Donald (rating 1591 vs 1525).
- Head-to-head: Matthew William Donald 1–0 Louis Wessels (1).
Statistics
| Matthew William Donald | Louis Wessels | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-7.5 | 10.8-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Matthew William Donald 1 – 0 Louis Wessels (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matthew William Donald 1–0 Louis Wessels
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/26 M25 Nussloch | 2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew William Donald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Lorenzo Bocchi M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Christopher Thies Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Ioannis Xilas M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Arian Barbic M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Louis Wessels
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Muttenz |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Michiel de Krom M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Niklas Waldner M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Peetu Pohjola Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Dax Donders Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Stijn Paardekooper Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew William Donald vs Louis Wessels?
Our model gives 63% to Matthew William Donald, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.