Tennis · M25 Muttenz · 13/08, 11:30
Prediction: Justin Schlageter vs Andrin Casanova
Team pages: Justin Schlageter · Andrin Casanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Justin Schlageter
Andrin Casanova
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Justin Schlageter
4-6 (W-L)
Andrin Casanova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justin Schlageter 1474 · Andrin Casanova 1506
| Justin Schlageter | Andrin Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Justin Schlageter | Andrin Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11.9 | 10.9-8.7 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 70% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justin Schlageter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Calvin Mueller M25 Muttenz |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Noah Schlagenhauf M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Johan Oscar Lien M15 Uslar |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Felix Einig M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Jonathan Mridha M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Matteo Covato M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Noah Karma M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Andrin Casanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Muttenz |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 10/08 | Leo Lagarrigue M25 Muttenz |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Erwin Troebinger M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Gregoire Delattre M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-8 | L |
| 22/06 | Yannic Nittmann M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Pedro Sakamoto M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Robin Boeckli M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Lars Aregger M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Alexander Weis M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justin Schlageter vs Andrin Casanova?
Our model gives 52% to Justin Schlageter, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.