Tennis · M15 Targu Jiu · 13/08, 10:00
Prediction: Fermin Tenti vs Jacopo Bilardo
Team pages: Fermin Tenti · Jacopo Bilardo
Prediction summary
Winner
Fermin Tenti
Jacopo Bilardo
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Fermin Tenti
5-5 (W-L)
Jacopo Bilardo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fermin Tenti 1536 · Jacopo Bilardo 1442
| Fermin Tenti | Jacopo Bilardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fermin Tenti (rating 1536 vs 1442).
- Fermin Tenti is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Jacopo Bilardo makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Fermin Tenti | Jacopo Bilardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.3 | 10.7-12.5 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 69% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fermin Tenti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Giovanni Ciocca M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Santiago De La Fuente M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Peter Bertran Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Jacopo Bilardo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M15 Targu Jiu |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Gabriele Piraino M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 08/06 | Daniel Bagnolini M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Matyas Fuele M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Trisztan Gubi M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fermin Tenti vs Jacopo Bilardo?
Our model gives 51% to Fermin Tenti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.