Tennis · M15 Targu Jiu · 13/08, 11:30
Prediction: Andrea Paolini vs Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Team pages: Andrea Paolini · Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Paolini
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Paolini
4-6 (W-L)
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Paolini 1507 · Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez 1564
| Andrea Paolini | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez (rating 1507 vs 1564).
- Note: Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Andrea Paolini | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-8.4 | 12-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 39.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Paolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Andrei Corneliu Gadoiu M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/08 | Yannick Castelnuovo M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/07 | Gabriele Vulpitta M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 07/07 | Sean Daryabeigi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Lukas Pokorny M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Photos Photiades M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Gabriel Sardo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/05 | Lilian Marmousez Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Yuto Oki M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Zdenek Derkas UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Tomas Zlatohlavek UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 31/07 | Filip Soderqvist UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 30/07 | Nikola Keremedchiev UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Merse Deli UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/07 | Botond Nagy UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Paolini vs Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez?
Our model gives 60% to Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.