Tennis · M15 Warsaw · 13/08, 13:30

Prediction: Robert Strombachs vs Ammar Elamin

Team pages: Robert Strombachs · Ammar Elamin

Prediction summary
Winner
75% 25%
Robert Strombachs Ammar Elamin
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Robert Strombachs 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWLWWWLW
Ammar Elamin 2-8 (W-L)
LWLWLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Robert Strombachs 1518 · Ammar Elamin 1467
Robert StrombachsAmmar Elamin
Our model57%43%
Market89%11%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Robert Strombachs (rating 1518 vs 1467).
  • Note: Robert Strombachs makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Robert StrombachsAmmar Elamin
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (6) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.90.9-1.5
Games (G-P)10.5-9.69.8-11.3
Aces1.82.1
Double faults4.22
1st serve %68.6%64.9%
Break %35.7%38.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Robert Strombachs

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu
M15 Warsaw
2-0 12-4 W
06/07 Dimitar Kuzmanov
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
05/07 Kacper Szymkowiak
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
01/07 Jannik Opitz
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
1-2 12-18 L
29/06 Nicolas Ifi
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
25/06 Dylan Dietrich
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
23/06 Alessio Basile
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
13/06 Radu Albot
Davis Cup
0-2 5-12 L
12/06 Peter Buldorini
Davis Cup
2-1 16-10 W
11/06 Petar Jovanovic
Davis Cup
2-0 12-4 W

Ammar Elamin

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
M15 Warsaw
2-1 16-11 W
05/08 Vincent Dullinger
M15 Frankfurt
0-2 5-12 L
30/07 Matt Ponchet
M15 Dublin
0-2 7-12 L
29/07 Aaron Gabet
M15 Dublin
2-1 16-13 W
01/07 Denis Klok
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
30/06 Sam Kydd Baumgartner
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
1-2 8-9 L
29/06 Javier De Francisco-Aguirrebengoa Gonsalves
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
15/06 Thanasi Kokkinakis
Challenger Dublin · Grass
0-2 3-12 L
14/06 Andy Andrade
Challenger Dublin · Grass
2-1 14-13 W
02/06 Richard Antoni
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Robert Strombachs vs Ammar Elamin?

Our model gives 75% to Robert Strombachs, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.