Tennis · M15 Warsaw · 13/08, 10:00

Prediction: Yassine Smiej vs Fares Zakaria

Team pages: Yassine Smiej · Fares Zakaria

Prediction summary
Winner
38% 62%
Yassine Smiej Fares Zakaria
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Yassine Smiej 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLLLLWLW
Fares Zakaria 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yassine Smiej 1460 · Fares Zakaria 1445
Yassine SmiejFares Zakaria
Our model52%48%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Yassine Smiej makes many double faults (5/match).
  • Note: Fares Zakaria makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Yassine SmiejFares Zakaria
Win %30%30%
Win % · Clay 25% (4) 0% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.50.8-1.6
Games (G-P)9.4-12.77.8-12.1
Aces0.81.8
Double faults54.6
1st serve %56%58.4%
Break %50.8%29%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yassine Smiej

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Preston Brown
M15 Warsaw
2-1 17-15 W
30/07 Tom Zeuch
M25 Koszalin
0-2 4-12 L
29/07 Gilberto Ravasio
M25 Koszalin
2-0 12-7 W
15/07 Seydina Andre
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
08/07 Nazim Makhlouf
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 11-16 L
01/07 Eero Vasa
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
1-2 12-17 L
25/06 Reda Bennani
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
24/06 Nathan Walters
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
27/05 Gabriele Vulpitta
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
21/05 Viktor Frydrych
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 9-18 L

Fares Zakaria

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 William Mclennaghan
M15 Warsaw
2-0 12-5 W
03/08 Daniil Glinka
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
23/07 Sebastian Sorger
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 9-13 L
22/07 David Bakonyi
M25 Ollersbach
2-1 13-10 W
16/07 Flynn Thomas
M25 Kramsach
0-2 0-12 L
15/07 Lenn Luemkemann
M25 Kramsach
2-1 14-13 W
21/06 Thomas Fancutt
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 12-17 L
14/06 Luca Castelnuovo
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
07/06 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
14/05 David Eichenseher
M25 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yassine Smiej vs Fares Zakaria?

Our model gives 62% to Fares Zakaria, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.