Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 12/08, 20:30
Prediction: Kaya Moe vs Ariana Gilbert
Team pages: Kaya Moe · Ariana Gilbert
Prediction summary
Winner
Kaya Moe
Ariana Gilbert
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kaya Moe
9-1 (W-L)
Ariana Gilbert
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaya Moe 1548 · Ariana Gilbert 1449
| Kaya Moe | Ariana Gilbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaya Moe (rating 1548 vs 1449).
- Kaya Moe is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Kaya Moe makes many double faults (6.9/match).
- Note: Ariana Gilbert makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Kaya Moe | Ariana Gilbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.7 | 9.6-11.6 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 6.9 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaya Moe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Isabella Camacho UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Brooke Lynn Schafer UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Natalie Outcalt UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Gabby Barrera UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Kate Sharabura UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Dasha Plekhanova W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Liam Oved UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Ellison Reynoldson UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Ariana Gilbert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/07 | Anna Arkadianou UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Natalie Oliver UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Aryana Bartlett UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Nadia Elle Valdez W35 Rome |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Serafima Elizarova UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Violeta Martinez UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaya Moe vs Ariana Gilbert?
Our model gives 72% to Kaya Moe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.