Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 12/08, 19:10
Prediction: Ava Esposito Cogan vs Mariana Manyoma
Team pages: Ava Esposito Cogan · Mariana Manyoma
Prediction summary
Winner
Ava Esposito Cogan
Mariana Manyoma
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ava Esposito Cogan
8-2 (W-L)
Mariana Manyoma
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ava Esposito Cogan 1613 · Mariana Manyoma 1600
| Ava Esposito Cogan | Mariana Manyoma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ava Esposito Cogan makes many double faults (7.2/match).
- Note: Mariana Manyoma makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Ava Esposito Cogan | Mariana Manyoma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.9-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-8.8 | 13.2-8.6 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 7.2 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ava Esposito Cogan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Sabritt Dozier UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 08/08 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Brooke Lynn Schafer UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Kesmat El Tawil UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Ireland O'Brien UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Mckenzie Shelton UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Andrea Chacon UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Mariana Manyoma
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Lyla Byers UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Victoria Mann UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Chacon UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Anna Parkhomenko UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 11/06 | Anna Grigoreva UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Marina Fuduric UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ava Esposito Cogan vs Mariana Manyoma?
Our model gives 65% to Ava Esposito Cogan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.