Tennis · M15 Asuncion · 12/08, 14:30
Prediction: Santiago Pesino vs Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Team pages: Santiago Pesino · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Prediction summary
Winner
Santiago Pesino
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago Pesino
5-5 (W-L)
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santiago Pesino 1514 · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1599
| Santiago Pesino | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (rating 1514 vs 1599).
- Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Santiago Pesino | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.1 | 11.8-6.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 59.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago Pesino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Nicolas Baena M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/08 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Salvador Price M25 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Bautista De La Pena M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Felipe Mifano Pinto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Tomas Jordi Leston M15 Villa Constitucion |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 07/07 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Dante Teramo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/05 | Jackson Pereira Xavier M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-7 | L |
| 06/05 | Samuel Heredia M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Maximo Zeitune M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Juan Estevez M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Luis Jose Nakamine M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Juan Estevez M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Bastian Malla M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Nicolas Garcia Longo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Thiago Horacio Messa M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 26/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiago Pesino vs Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo?
Our model gives 74% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.