Tennis · M25 Muttenz · 13/08, 10:00
Prediction: Kai Wehnelt vs Flynn Thomas
Team pages: Kai Wehnelt · Flynn Thomas
Prediction summary
Winner
Kai Wehnelt
Flynn Thomas
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kai Wehnelt
8-2 (W-L)
Flynn Thomas
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kai Wehnelt 1535 · Flynn Thomas 1479
| Kai Wehnelt | Flynn Thomas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kai Wehnelt (rating 1535 vs 1479).
- Kai Wehnelt dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 48.5% break avg.
- Note: Flynn Thomas makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Kai Wehnelt | Flynn Thomas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.2 | 8.7-9.7 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 6.7 |
| 1st serve % | 78.3% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kai Wehnelt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Thomas Gunzinger M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Martin Van Der Meerschen Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Nicolas Ifi Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Samuele Pieri M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 20/06 | Dylan Dietrich M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Dominic Stephan Stricker M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Flynn Thomas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Hernan Casanova M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Strasbourg |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Lambert Ruland M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Fares Zakaria M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/07 | Felix Raser M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Henry Bernet M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Batiste Guerra M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/04 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kai Wehnelt vs Flynn Thomas?
Our model gives 67% to Kai Wehnelt, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.