Tennis · W15 Campos do Jordao · 12/08, 15:00
Prediction: Natalia Sousa Salazar vs Beatriz Guerra
Team pages: Natalia Sousa Salazar
Prediction summary
Winner
Natalia Sousa Salazar
Beatriz Guerra
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Natalia Sousa Salazar
1-9 (W-L)
Beatriz Guerra
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Natalia Sousa Salazar
0–1
Beatriz Guerra
(1 last)
- 13 Jul0-2 11-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalia Sousa Salazar 1450 · Beatriz Guerra 1500
| Natalia Sousa Salazar | Beatriz Guerra | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beatriz Guerra (rating 1450 vs 1500).
- Head-to-head: Natalia Sousa Salazar 0–1 Beatriz Guerra (1).
Statistics
| Natalia Sousa Salazar | Beatriz Guerra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7-12.2 | 10.2-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 50.3% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Natalia Sousa Salazar 0 – 1 Beatriz Guerra (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Natalia Sousa Salazar 0–1 Beatriz Guerra
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/26 W35 Sao Paulo | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalia Sousa Salazar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W35 Chacabuco |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Beatriz Guerra W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Joody Elkady W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Lois Newberry W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Lauren Seye W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Maria Andrienko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Lois Newberry W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 29/05 | Andre Lukosiute W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Beatriz Guerra
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Clara Borrasca W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W75 Vacaria |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Chiara Di Genova W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Natalia Sousa Salazar W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Oceane Babel W15 Rio Claro |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Livia Santo W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Gabriela Kawano Cho W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/06 | Catarina M I Melleiro Junior W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 04/06 | Maria Camila Torres Murcia W15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Carolina Xavier Laydner W15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalia Sousa Salazar vs Beatriz Guerra?
Our model gives 56% to Beatriz Guerra, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.