Tennis · W15 Campos do Jordao · 20/08, 17:30
Prediction: Ana Candiotto vs Natalia Sousa Salazar
Team pages: Ana Candiotto · Natalia Sousa Salazar
Prediction summary
Winner
Ana Candiotto
Natalia Sousa Salazar
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Ana Candiotto
7-3 (W-L)
Natalia Sousa Salazar
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ana Candiotto 1554 · Natalia Sousa Salazar 1453
| Ana Candiotto | Natalia Sousa Salazar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ana Candiotto (rating 1554 vs 1453).
- Ana Candiotto is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ana Candiotto | Natalia Sousa Salazar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-8.5 | 7.5-12.2 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 52.1% |
| Break % | 60.3% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ana Candiotto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Marina Bulbarella W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Daria Egorova W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Luciana Moyano W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Maria Carolina Ferreira Turchetto W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Valentina Mediorreal Arias W15 Rio Claro |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Luciana Moyano W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/06 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Natalia Sousa Salazar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Maria Fernanda Lopes W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Beatriz Guerra W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W35 Chacabuco |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Beatriz Guerra W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Joody Elkady W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Lois Newberry W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Lauren Seye W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Maria Andrienko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ana Candiotto vs Natalia Sousa Salazar?
Our model gives 76% to Ana Candiotto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.