Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 12/08, 22:00
Prediction: Sydney Jara vs Lexie Weir
Team pages: Sydney Jara · Lexie Weir
Prediction summary
Winner
Sydney Jara
Lexie Weir
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sydney Jara
6-4 (W-L)
Lexie Weir
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sydney Jara 1544 · Lexie Weir 1591
| Sydney Jara | Lexie Weir | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lexie Weir (rating 1544 vs 1591).
Statistics
| Sydney Jara | Lexie Weir | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.5 | 11.5-8.6 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 63.7% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sydney Jara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/07 | Angelina Voloshchuk W35 Santa Fe |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 20/07 | Taylor Goetz W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Alana Smith WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Ellie Myers UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/05 | Ekaterina Ivanova UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Lexie Weir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/08 | Lucia Donnelly UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Ava Esposito Cogan UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Kate Sharabura UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabby Barrera UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 01/08 | Ava Esposito Cogan UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Kathryn Wilson UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Jenelle Roberts UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sydney Jara vs Lexie Weir?
Our model gives 56% to Sydney Jara, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.