Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 13/08, 16:30
Prediction: Mary Boyce Deatherage vs Amina Salibayeva
Team pages: Mary Boyce Deatherage · Amina Salibayeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Mary Boyce Deatherage
Amina Salibayeva
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mary Boyce Deatherage
6-4 (W-L)
Amina Salibayeva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mary Boyce Deatherage 1522 · Amina Salibayeva 1564
| Mary Boyce Deatherage | Amina Salibayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amina Salibayeva (rating 1522 vs 1564).
- Note: Amina Salibayeva makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Mary Boyce Deatherage | Amina Salibayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.6 | 10.8-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 49.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mary Boyce Deatherage
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Ishika Ashar UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 18-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Brooke Lynn Schafer UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Amara Brahmbhatt UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 23/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Sobee Oak UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/07 | Maeve Thornton UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Katie Spencer UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Amina Salibayeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Brooke Lynn Schafer UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Ishika Ashar UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/06 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Lucia Fuduric UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 11/06 | Niba N'Tcha UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Jacqueline Soloveychik UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Maria Araoz Gosn UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Letizia Corsini UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mary Boyce Deatherage vs Amina Salibayeva?
Our model gives 53% to Amina Salibayeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.