Tennis · M15 Targu Jiu · 12/08, 09:00
Prediction: Giovanni Ciocca vs Ignacio Monzon
Team pages: Giovanni Ciocca · Ignacio Monzon
Prediction summary
Winner
Giovanni Ciocca
Ignacio Monzon
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Giovanni Ciocca
3-7 (W-L)
Ignacio Monzon
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giovanni Ciocca 1412 · Ignacio Monzon 1538
| Giovanni Ciocca | Ignacio Monzon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ignacio Monzon (rating 1412 vs 1538).
- Ignacio Monzon is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Giovanni Ciocca | Ignacio Monzon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.6 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.6-10.9 | 11-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 53.2% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giovanni Ciocca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Carles Rojas M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Fermin Tenti M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Jose Murariu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Preston Brown M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Udit Kamboj M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 11/05 | James Hart M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/05 | Tom Zeuch M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
Ignacio Monzon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 06/07 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 05/07 | Nicolas Hurtado Novoa Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Matias Soto Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Valentin Basel Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Julian Cundom Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giovanni Ciocca vs Ignacio Monzon?
Our model gives 77% to Ignacio Monzon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.