Tennis · M15 Targu Jiu · 12/08, 09:00
Prediction: Filippo Francesco Garbero vs Jacopo Bilardo
Team pages: Filippo Francesco Garbero · Jacopo Bilardo
Prediction summary
Winner
Filippo Francesco Garbero
Jacopo Bilardo
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Filippo Francesco Garbero
6-4 (W-L)
Jacopo Bilardo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filippo Francesco Garbero 1503 · Jacopo Bilardo 1425
| Filippo Francesco Garbero | Jacopo Bilardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filippo Francesco Garbero (rating 1503 vs 1425).
- Filippo Francesco Garbero is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Jacopo Bilardo makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Filippo Francesco Garbero | Jacopo Bilardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.6 | 10.9-13 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 43% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filippo Francesco Garbero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Mustapha El Natour M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Gabriel Ghetu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Riccardo Di Vita M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Giovanni Ciocca M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Kriish Tyagi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Giovanni Ciocca M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Marc Van Der Merwe M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Vasilios Caripi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Jacopo Bilardo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Gabriele Piraino M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 08/06 | Daniel Bagnolini M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Matyas Fuele M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Trisztan Gubi M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Gabriele Piraino M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filippo Francesco Garbero vs Jacopo Bilardo?
Our model gives 59% to Jacopo Bilardo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.