Tennis · M15 Targu Jiu · 12/08, 09:00
Prediction: Jake Fellows vs Matteo Sciahbasi
Team pages: Jake Fellows · Matteo Sciahbasi
Prediction summary
Winner
Jake Fellows
Matteo Sciahbasi
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jake Fellows
7-3 (W-L)
Matteo Sciahbasi
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jake Fellows 1605 · Matteo Sciahbasi 1476
| Jake Fellows | Matteo Sciahbasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jake Fellows (rating 1605 vs 1476).
- Jake Fellows is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jake Fellows | Matteo Sciahbasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-7.7 | 9.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.9% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 61.8% | 34.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jake Fellows
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Targu Jiu |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Robin Eldin M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Kaipo Marshall Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/06 | Rafael Botran Neutze Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Daniel Azar Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Paulo Pocasangre Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/05 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/05 | Duncan McCall UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 16/05 | Yashwin Krishnakumar UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Max K Fardanesh UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Matteo Sciahbasi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Iulius Maximus Stoica M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/07 | Niccolo Ciavarella M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Giulio Perego M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Maxence Rivet M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Pietro Marino M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 08/06 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Massimo Giunta M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jake Fellows vs Matteo Sciahbasi?
Our model gives 55% to Jake Fellows, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.