Tennis · M15 Warsaw · 12/08, 10:00

Prediction: William Mclennaghan vs Fares Zakaria

Team pages: William Mclennaghan · Fares Zakaria

Prediction summary
Winner
33% 67%
William Mclennaghan Fares Zakaria
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
William Mclennaghan 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLWWLLW
Fares Zakaria 2-8 (W-L)
WLLLLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · William Mclennaghan 1486 · Fares Zakaria 1430
William MclennaghanFares Zakaria
Our model58%42%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours William Mclennaghan (rating 1486 vs 1430).
  • Note: William Mclennaghan makes many double faults (5.8/match).
  • Note: Fares Zakaria makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

William MclennaghanFares Zakaria
Win %40%30%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.20.8-1.6
Games (G-P)9.4-9.27.8-12
Aces2.82
Double faults5.84.6
1st serve %63.5%60.2%
Break %66.8%25.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

William Mclennaghan

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Ethan Terblanche
M15 Warsaw
2-0 12-5 W
02/08 Rhys Lawlor
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
26/07 Charlie Swaine
M25 Aldershot
0-2 5-12 L
17/05 Robert Cowley
UTR Pro Stirling · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
16/05 Thomas Pudney
UTR Pro Stirling · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/05 Conor Flynn
UTR Pro Stirling · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
13/05 Axel Frechet
UTR Pro Stirling · Hard
2-0 13-5 W
12/05 Cian McDonnell
UTR Pro Stirling · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
11/05 Tyler Stice
UTR Pro Stirling · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
06/05 Miles Jones
M25 Nottingham
0-2 7-12 L

Fares Zakaria

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/08 Daniil Glinka
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
23/07 Sebastian Sorger
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 9-13 L
22/07 David Bakonyi
M25 Ollersbach
2-1 13-10 W
16/07 Flynn Thomas
M25 Kramsach
0-2 0-12 L
15/07 Lenn Luemkemann
M25 Kramsach
2-1 14-13 W
21/06 Thomas Fancutt
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 12-17 L
14/06 Luca Castelnuovo
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
07/06 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
14/05 David Eichenseher
M25 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
13/05 Karim Ibrahim
M25 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in William Mclennaghan vs Fares Zakaria?

Our model gives 67% to Fares Zakaria, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.