Tennis · M15 Warsaw · 12/08, 10:00

Prediction: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Thomas Drayton

Team pages: Jeremy Gschwendtner · Thomas Drayton

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Jeremy Gschwendtner Thomas Drayton
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jeremy Gschwendtner 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLWLWWL
Thomas Drayton 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jeremy Gschwendtner 1498 · Thomas Drayton 1474
Jeremy GschwendtnerThomas Drayton
Our model53%47%
Market84%16%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Jeremy Gschwendtner makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Jeremy GschwendtnerThomas Drayton
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.20.9-1.2
Games (G-P)11.1-11.18.6-9.2
Aces1.71.2
Double faults4.53.7
1st serve %59.6%64%
Break %46.7%32.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jeremy Gschwendtner

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/08 Gregor Hausberger
M15 Bielsko Biala
1-2 14-17 L
04/08 Leonardo Borrelli
M15 Bielsko Biala
2-1 17-16 W
15/07 Filiberto Fumagalli
M15 Nova Gorica
1-2 12-13 L
09/07 Lorenzo Balducci
M15 Lodz
0-2 4-12 L
08/07 Oliwier Sterniczuk
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-7 W
25/06 Vincent Dullinger
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
1-2 16-18 L
24/06 Jeremy Schifris
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
11/06 Sebastian Gima
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
1-1 7-5 W
10/06 Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
02/06 Christian Sigsgaard
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Thomas Drayton

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Filip Kosinski
M15 Warsaw
2-0 12-6 W
02/08 Pablo Perez Ramos
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/07 Niels Villard
M15 Dublin
0-2 8-12 L
13/07 Iker Urribarrens
M15 Castelo Branco
1-2 7-11 L
20/05 Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/05 Rayen Hermassi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
13/05 John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
12/05 Thomas George Brun
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
04/05 Nemanja Malesevic
M25 Nottingham
0-2 10-13 L
03/05 Aaron Jinks
M25 Nottingham Qual
2-0 12-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Thomas Drayton?

Our model gives 70% to Jeremy Gschwendtner, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.