Tennis · M15 Warsaw · 12/08, 10:00
Prediction: Daniel De Jonge vs Barney Fitzpatrick
Team pages: Daniel De Jonge · Barney Fitzpatrick
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel De Jonge
Barney Fitzpatrick
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel De Jonge
8-2 (W-L)
Barney Fitzpatrick
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel De Jonge 1515 · Barney Fitzpatrick 1476
| Daniel De Jonge | Barney Fitzpatrick | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Daniel De Jonge dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 54.1% break avg.
- Note: Daniel De Jonge makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Daniel De Jonge | Barney Fitzpatrick | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.4 | 8.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.3% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 29.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel De Jonge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Valentin Gonzalez-Galino M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Conor Gannon M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Roan Jones M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Daniel Borisov M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Milosz Sroka M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 06/07 | Emile Hudd Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Michael Zhu Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Barney Fitzpatrick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Adam Bajurko M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Michael Wright M15 Dublin |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/05 | Lars Goran Verwerft M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Yoan Naydenov M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/04 | Isaac Becroft M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Sungbeen Sim M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/04 | Tristan Stringer M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 29/01 | Luca Staeheli M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/01 | Bader Alabdullah M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel De Jonge vs Barney Fitzpatrick?
Our model gives 74% to Daniel De Jonge, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.