Tennis · M25 Koksijde · 12/08, 11:30

Prediction: Mickael Kaouk vs Laurent Lokoli

Team pages: Mickael Kaouk · Laurent Lokoli

Prediction summary
Winner
30% 70%
Mickael Kaouk Laurent Lokoli
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mickael Kaouk 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWWWWLW
Laurent Lokoli 8-2 (W-L)
WLWLWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mickael Kaouk 1523 · Laurent Lokoli 1644
Mickael KaoukLaurent Lokoli
Our model33%67%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laurent Lokoli (rating 1523 vs 1644).
  • Laurent Lokoli is in better form: 100% recent wins.

Statistics

Mickael KaoukLaurent Lokoli
Win %60%100%
Win % · Clay 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.92-0.2
Games (G-P)11.1-8.812.8-6.5
Aces0.92.5
Double faults2.62
1st serve %68.4%80.9%
Break %56.4%49.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mickael Kaouk

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Justas Trainauskas
M25 Koksijde
2-0 12-2 W
01/07 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Troyes · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
29/06 Dali Blanch
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-1 17-17 W
20/06 Melios Efstathiou
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
1-2 15-19 L
19/06 Filiberto Fumagalli
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
2-0 12-0 W
18/06 Arthur Bonnaud
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
16/06 Yoshka Sborowsky
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
2-0 8-3 W
09/06 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Lyon · Clay
1-2 13-18 L
27/05 Maxime Chazal
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/05 Thomas Coppi
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Laurent Lokoli

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Martin Riu
M25 Koksijde
2-0 12-2 W
12/07 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-4 W
11/07 Florent Bax
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-4 W
10/07 Rodrigo Alujas
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-5 W
09/07 Matisse Martin
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-3 W
08/07 Mathieu Scaglia
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 13-8 W
05/07 Dan Added
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
04/07 Matisse Bobichon
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
03/07 Paul Inchauspe
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-1 16-15 W
02/07 Tanguy Genier
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mickael Kaouk vs Laurent Lokoli?

Our model gives 70% to Laurent Lokoli, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.