Tennis · M25 Koksijde · 14/08, 11:30
Prediction: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Fadi Bidan
Team pages: Gilles Arnaud Bailly · Fadi Bidan
Prediction summary
Winner
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Fadi Bidan
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
4-6 (W-L)
Fadi Bidan
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
1–1
Fadi Bidan
(2 last)
- 14 Aug2-0 12-2W
- 25 Feb0-2 5-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gilles Arnaud Bailly 1475 · Fadi Bidan 1520
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Fadi Bidan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fadi Bidan (rating 1475 vs 1520).
Statistics
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Fadi Bidan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.3 | 10.2-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 35.5% | 32.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Gilles Arnaud Bailly 1 – 1 Fadi Bidan (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gilles Arnaud Bailly 1–1 Fadi Bidan
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/25 M25 Koksijde | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/02/25 M15 Monastir | 0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Mac Visser M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Zaccharie Cado M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Miguel Damas Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Henri Squire Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Pol Martin Tiffon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Fadi Bidan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Elgin Khoeblal M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Louis-Lou Langenaken M25 Koksijde |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Deney Wassermann M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Niels Lootsma UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Kilian Martinez UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Edouard Aubert UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Thomas Patton UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Ondrej Hujo UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 05/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Dylan Dietrich M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Fadi Bidan?
Our model gives 69% to Gilles Arnaud Bailly, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.