Prediction: Kerem Yilmaz vs Vesa Ahti
Team pages: Kerem Yilmaz · Vesa Ahti
Prediction summary
Winner
Kerem Yilmaz
Vesa Ahti
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Kerem Yilmaz
7-3 (W-L)
Vesa Ahti
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kerem Yilmaz 1515 · Vesa Ahti 1475
| Kerem Yilmaz | Vesa Ahti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kerem Yilmaz (rating 1515 vs 1475).
- Note: Kerem Yilmaz makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Kerem Yilmaz | Vesa Ahti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.6 | 9.8-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 63.7% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kerem Yilmaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 02/08 | Maxim Zhukov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 27/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/07 | S Mert Ozdemir M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Elijah Strode M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Matas Vasiliauskas M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Fumin Jiang M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Vesa Ahti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Lucas Rosvall M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Rafael Ymer M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/04 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Omaansh Choudhary Saharia M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/04 | Ali Cinar Sahinoglu M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/04 | Mattias Southcombe M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 14/04 | Gawad El Feky M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/04 | Karim Sherif Abdellatif Abdo M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/03 | Aleksandr Braynin M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kerem Yilmaz vs Vesa Ahti?
Our model gives 71% to Kerem Yilmaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.